Hnub ci tsim hluav taws xob hauv Nyij Pooj xyoo 2030, hnub ci hnub yuav muab hluav taws xob feem ntau rau nruab hnub?

Thaum Lub Peb Hlis 30, 2022, Lub Chaw Pabcuam Kev Ua Haujlwm, uas tab tom tshawb xyuas qhov kev qhia txog kev tsim hluav taws xob photovoltaic (PV) hauv Nyij Pooj, tau tshaj tawm qhov tseeb thiab xav tau tus nqi ntawm photovoltaic system taw qhia los ntawm 2020. Nyob rau hauv 2030, nws luam tawm "Kev kwv yees ntawm lub Kev taw qhia txog kev tsim hluav taws xob photovoltaic hauv kev lag luam Nyij Pooj xyoo 2030 (2022 tsab) ".

Raws li nws qhov kev kwv yees, kev nthuav qhia ntawm cov tshuab photovoltaic hauv Nyij Pooj los ntawm 2020 yog kwv yees li 72GW, raws li cov zis tam sim no (DC).Nyob rau hauv "cov ntaub ntawv loj hlob tam sim no" kom tswj tau tus nqi tam sim no ntawm DC kev taw qhia ntawm ib puag ncig 8 GW hauv ib xyoos, kev kwv yees yog 154 GW, nrog rau qhov hloov pauv tam sim no (AC) tso zis (AC) ntawm 121 GW hauv FY2030Note 1).Ntawm qhov tod tes, "Introduction Acceleration Case", uas xav tias yuav txhim kho thiab ua kom zoo dua qub, muaj DC puag ntawm 180GW (AC puag ntawm 140GW).

Los ntawm txoj kev, nyob rau hauv "Sixth Basic Energy Plan" tsim los ntawm Ministry of Economy, Trade thiab Industry thaum Lub Kaum Hli 22, 2021, lub hnub ci zog qhia hauv Nyij Pooj xyoo 2030 yog "117.6GW (AC ntawm qib siab).Base)".Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Lag Luam, Kev Lag Luam thiab Kev Lag Luam ntawm "kev xav zoo" qib yuav luag nyob rau hauv txoj kab nrog kev nthuav qhia tam sim no.

Txawm li cas los xij, cov DC-raws li PV system tso tawm qhov tseem ceeb yog ntsuas thaum qee yam mob xws li kub thiab lub hnub lub kaum ntse ntse.Qhov tseeb, 7 zaug (× 0.7) yog lub ncov ntawm kev tsim hluav taws xob.Ntawd yog, los ntawm 2030, nws yuav tsum muaj peev xwm tsim tau txog 85 GW raws li qhov kev loj hlob tam sim no nyob ib ncig ntawm tav su hauv tshav ntuj huab cua thaum nruab hnub, thiab txog 98 GW raws li kev qhia nrawm (ob qho tib si AC-raws li).

Ntawm qhov tod tes, Nyiv lub siab tshaj plaws txhua xyoo lub zog xav tau yog nyob ib puag ncig 160GW (ntawm qhov hloov pauv tam sim no).Ua ntej Great East Nyiv Av qeeg nyob rau lub Peb Hlis 2011, nws yog kwv yees li 180GW (ib yam li saum toj no), tab sis nrog kev nce qib ntawm cov txheej txheem kev txuag hluav taws xob, kev lag luam kev loj hlob tau qeeb, thiab kev hloov pauv kev lag luam tau nce siab, thiab kev tsim hluav taws xob tau poob qis.Yog tias qhov kev thov hluav taws xob hauv xyoo 2030 yuav luag zoo ib yam li tam sim no, nws tuaj yeem suav tias 98GW / 160GW = 61% lossis ntau dua ntawm Nyiv cov kev xav tau hluav taws xob tag nrho tuaj yeem ua tau raws li hnub ci zog thaum nruab hnub thiab hnub ci huab cua.